Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,363.7 to 4,353.11, down 0.24%
Market Energy Bear Bias -51.7% to Bear Bias -57.1%, down 5.3 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.22%0.18%0.05%0.24%
Energy6.57.05.95.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.22% 0.18% 0.05% 0.24% 6.5 7.0 5.9 5.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.24% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 34% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,352 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,374 times

When XAUUSD is in Bear Bias:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 3,348 times62.3%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,026 times37.7%

Current XAUUSD market energy: -57.06%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 36.18%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 2.94%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-51.7%
Bear Bias
-57.1%
Bear Bias
-81.2%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, XAUUSD noted at Bear Bias.

Market trend update: Market Energy dropped -5.3% this candle, currently -57.1% (previous candle -51.7%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +93.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,353.11, down 0.24% from the previous candle (4,363.7). Market Energy was -57.1%, down 5.3 points from -51.7%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,353.11, down 0.24% from the previous 1H candle (4,363.7). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,579 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -51.7% to -57.1%. This drop is larger than 34% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at -51.7%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -57.1%, XAUUSD is 36.18 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 2.94 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -79.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -86.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bear Bias, -57.1%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 2.2%. XAUUSD energy is currently below DXY by 59.2 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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