Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,345.85 to 4,353.84, up 0.18%
Market Energy Bull Bias 53.8% to Bull Critical 71.4%, up 17.6 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.44%0.65%0.33%0.18%
Energy61.438.580.517.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.44% 0.65% 0.33% 0.18% 61.4 38.5 80.5 17.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.18% — higher than 76% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 17.6 pts — higher than 69% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,354 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,601 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,121 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,480 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 71.44%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 3.06%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-11 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
53.8%
Bull Bias
71.4%
Bull Critical
55.6%
Bull Bias
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 1H candle closes, XAUUSD within the Bull Critical zone.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy rose +17.6% from the previous candle, from 53.8% to 71.4%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -90 to +93.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,353.84, up 0.18% from the previous candle (4,345.85). Market Energy was 71.4%, up 17.6 points from 53.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,353.84, up 0.18% from the previous 1H candle (4,345.85). This rise is larger than 76% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,591 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 17.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 53.8% to 71.4%. This rise is larger than 69% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 53.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.4%, XAUUSD is 3.06 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.44 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 99.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 98%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 71.4%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -39.2%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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