Analysis

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Price and energy
XAUUSD from 4,384.8 to 4,385.98, up 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.0% to Bull Critical 72.2%, down 4.8 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.39%0.05%0.08%0.03%
Energy10.42.77.24.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.39% 0.05% 0.08% 0.03% 10.4 2.7 7.2 4.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.03% — higher than 18% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 4.8 pts — higher than 31% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical XAUUSD 1H

Sample: 69,354 1H candles from 2015-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 3,601 times

When XAUUSD is in Bull Critical:

  • then XAUUSD moved to higher Market State: 1,121 times31.1%
  • then XAUUSD moved to lower Market State: 2,480 times68.9%

Current XAUUSD market energy: 72.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.27%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 12.23%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAUUSD · H1 · 2026-09-02 23:00 UTC
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Market Energy
77.0%
Bull Extreme
72.2%
Bull Critical
83.6%
Bull Extreme
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 1H candle, XAUUSD classified as the Bull Critical measurement.

The market energy reading Energy delta -4.8%: Market Energy at 72.2%, previously 77%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAUUSD Market Energy ranged from -98 to +93.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAUUSD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 06:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, XAUUSD was at 4,385.98, up 0.03% from the previous candle (4,384.8). Market Energy was 72.2%, down 4.8 points from 77%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did XAUUSD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAUUSD closed at 4,385.98, up 0.03% from the previous 1H candle (4,384.8). This rise is larger than 18% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD, across 45,448 candles since 2019.

How did XAUUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 4.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77% to 72.2%. This drop is larger than 31% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for XAUUSD.

Do XAUUSD price and energy agree?

No. Price moved up while energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XAUUSD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had XAUUSD at 77%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, XAUUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does XAUUSD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 72.2%, XAUUSD is 2.27 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 12.23 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 28.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -0.6%. Against this backdrop, XAUUSD (Bull Critical, 72.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -62.6%. XAUUSD (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAUUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAUUSD on the XAUUSD overview →

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