Analysis

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Price and energy
XAGUSD from 67.0275 to 63.995, down 4.52%
Market Energy Bull Bias 25.5% to Bear Extreme -94.1%, down 119.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.89%0.21%0.61%4.52%
Energy12.57.823.7119.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.89% 0.21% 0.61% 4.52% 12.5 7.8 23.7 119.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 4.52% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 119.6 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XAGUSD 4H

Sample: 21,065 4H candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 639 times

When XAGUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XAGUSD moved to higher Market State: 639 times100%
  • then XAGUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XAGUSD market energy: -94.08%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 19.58%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 5.92%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

XAGUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
25.5%
Bull Bias
-94.1%
Bear Extreme
-98.1%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, XAGUSD in the Bear Extreme state.

Observing the XAGUSD market this session, Market Energy dropped -119.6% from the previous session, from 25.5% to -94.1%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XAGUSD Market Energy ranged from -94.1 to +76.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XAGUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, XAGUSD was at 63.995, down 4.52% from the previous candle (67.0275). Market Energy was -94.1%, down 119.6 points from 25.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XAGUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XAGUSD closed at 63.995, down 4.52% from the previous 4H candle (67.0275). This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD on record since 2019.

How did XAGUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 119.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 25.5% to -94.1%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for XAGUSD on record since 2019.

Do XAGUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was XAGUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XAGUSD at 25.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XAGUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XAGUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -94.1%, XAGUSD is 19.58 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 5.92 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.9%. Against this backdrop, XAGUSD (Bear Extreme, -94.1%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 31%. XAGUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XAGUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XAGUSD on the XAGUSD overview →

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