Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 703.39 to 681.89, down 3.06%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.2% to Bear Extreme -77.3%, down 147.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%▲ 0.72%▼ 3.06%
Energy▲ 35.8▼ 14.4▼ 0.1▼ 147.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%▲ 0.72%▼ 3.06%▲ 35.8▼ 14.4▼ 0.1▼ 147.5
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.06% — higher than 97% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 147.5 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme WHEAT 4H

Sample: 193 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 12 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Extreme:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 12 times — 100%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -77.35%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.85%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 22.65%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-30 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
70.2%
Bull Critical
-77.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

The Bear Extreme zone recorded from just-completed 4H candle data for WHEAT.

Market movement after the 4H candle closes, Market Energy dropped -147.5% this candle, currently -77.3% (previous candle 70.2%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -77.3 to +84.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 681.89, down 3.06% from the previous candle (703.39). Market Energy was -77.3%, down 147.5 points from 70.2%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 681.89, down 3.06% from the previous 4H candle (703.39). This drop is larger than 97% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 194 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 147.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.2% to -77.3%. This is the largest of all drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT on record since 2019.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at 70.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -77.3%, WHEAT is 2.85 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 22.65 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 84.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -55.5%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Extreme, -77.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -15.4%. WHEAT energy is currently below DXY by 62 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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