Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 691.9 to 697.15, up 0.76%
Market Energy Neutral -18.5% to Bull Bias 48.8%, up 67.3 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.40%▼ 0.36%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.76%
Energy▼ 20.6▼ 6.6▲ 7.7▲ 67.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.40%▼ 0.36%▲ 0.31%▲ 0.76%▼ 20.6▼ 6.6▲ 7.7▲ 67.3
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.76% — higher than 63% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 67.3 pts — higher than 88% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias WHEAT 4H

Sample: 187 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 15 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bull Bias:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 6 times — 40%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 60%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: 48.8%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 11.2%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 27.92%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-29 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-18.5%
Neutral
48.8%
Bull Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, WHEAT in the energy zone leaning Bull.

At the 4H session close, A +67.3% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 48.8% (previous: -18.5%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -99.9 to +60.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 29-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 697.15, up 0.76% from the previous candle (691.9). Market Energy was 48.8%, up 67.3 points from -18.5%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 697.15, up 0.76% from the previous 4H candle (691.9). This rise is larger than 63% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 190 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 67.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -18.5% to 48.8%. This rise is larger than 88% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at -18.5%, Neutral — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 48.8%, WHEAT is 11.2 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 27.92 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -48.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26.7%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bull Bias, 48.8%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 64.6%. WHEAT (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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