Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 695.64 to 681.89, down 1.98%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -85.0% to Bear Extreme -91.5%, down 6.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.68%▼ 0.64%▲ 0.22%▼ 1.98%
Energy▼ 122.4▼ 25.6▲ 9.8▼ 6.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.68%▼ 0.64%▲ 0.22%▼ 1.98%▼ 122.4▼ 25.6▲ 9.8▼ 6.6
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 1.98% — largest on record (since 2019)
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.6 pts — higher than 40% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme WHEAT 1H

Sample: 15,006 1H candles from 2023-07-26 to 2026-09-29
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 666 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bear Extreme:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 666 times — 100%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: -91.52%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 17.02%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 8.48%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H1 · 2026-09-30 16:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-85.0%
Bear Extreme
-91.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
01:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, Market Energy of WHEAT indicates the Bear Extreme level.

Market energy measurement Market Energy reading dropped -6.6%, moving from -85% to -91.5% after the 1H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 3 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -100 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 23:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 681.89, down 1.98% from the previous candle (695.64). Market Energy was -91.5%, down 6.6 points from -85%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 681.89, down 1.98% from the previous 1H candle (695.64). This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT on record since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -85% to -91.5%. This drop is larger than 40% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had WHEAT at -85%, Bear Extreme — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -91.5%, WHEAT is 17.02 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 8.48 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 74.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -82.4%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Extreme, -91.5%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.6%. WHEAT (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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