Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 698.39 to 703.39, up 0.72%
Market Energy Bull Critical 70.3% to Bull Critical 70.2%, down 0.1 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.76%▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%▲ 0.72%
Energy▲ 67.3▲ 35.8▼ 14.4▼ 0.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.76%▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%▲ 0.72%▲ 67.3▲ 35.8▼ 14.4▼ 0.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.72% — higher than 56% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy down 0.1 pts — higher than 0% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical WHEAT 4H

Sample: 192 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bull Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 18.2%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 81.8%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: 70.19%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.31%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.19%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-30 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
70.3%
Bull Critical
70.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Bull trend energy near extreme determined for WHEAT through the 4H candle data.

On trend energy, Market trend energy recorded a -0.1% drop from the previous candle, from 70.3% to 70.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -88.5 to +84.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 703.39, up 0.72% from the previous candle (698.39). Market Energy was 70.2%, down 0.1 points from 70.3%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 703.39, up 0.72% from the previous 4H candle (698.39). This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 193 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 0.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 70.3% to 70.2%. This drop is larger than 0% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price rise with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at 70.3%, Bull Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.2%, WHEAT is 4.31 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.19 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -34.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.8%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bull Critical, 70.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.4%. WHEAT (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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