Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
WHEAT from 701.14 to 698.39, down 0.39%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 84.6% to Bull Critical 70.3%, down 14.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.31%▲ 0.76%▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%
Energy▲ 7.7▲ 67.3▲ 35.8▼ 14.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.31%▲ 0.76%▲ 0.57%▼ 0.39%▲ 7.7▲ 67.3▲ 35.8▼ 14.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.39% — higher than 32% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.4 pts — higher than 57% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical WHEAT 4H

Sample: 192 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-30
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 11 times

▸When WHEAT is in Bull Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 18.2%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 9 times — 81.8%

▸Current WHEAT market energy: 70.27%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 4.23%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 10.27%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-30 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
84.6%
Bull Extreme
70.3%
Bull Critical
Expected at
20:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, Result for WHEAT: the Bull Critical zone.

On trend energy, Compared to the previous candle (84.6%), Market Energy dropped -14.4% to 70.3%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -92.6 to +84.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 30-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 698.39, down 0.39% from the previous candle (701.14). Market Energy was 70.3%, down 14.4 points from 84.6%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 698.39, down 0.39% from the previous 4H candle (701.14). This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 192 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 84.6% to 70.3%. This drop is larger than 57% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at 84.6%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 70.3%, WHEAT is 4.23 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 10.27 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 16.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 69.8%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bull Critical, 70.3%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.2%. WHEAT energy is currently above DXY by 73.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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