Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 750.04 to 747.67, down 0.32%
Market Energy Bear Critical -71.6% to Bear Critical -73.9%, down 2.3 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.82%0.74%0.13%0.32%
Energy21.416.89.32.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.82% 0.74% 0.13% 0.32% 21.4 16.8 9.3 2.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.32% — higher than 25% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.3 pts — higher than 14% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical WHEAT 4H

Sample: 140 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 7 times

When WHEAT is in Bear Critical:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 3 times42.9%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 4 times57.1%

Current WHEAT market energy: -73.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 13.87%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 0.63%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-04 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live WHEAT chart →
Market Energy
-71.6%
Bear Critical
-73.9%
Bear Critical
-66.0%
Bear Critical
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 4H candle, WHEAT within Bear energy near extreme.

At the 4H session close, Market Energy dropped -2.3% this candle, currently -73.9% (previous candle -71.6%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -97.7 to +78.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 747.67, down 0.32% from the previous candle (750.04). Market Energy was -73.9%, down 2.3 points from -71.6%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 747.67, down 0.32% from the previous 4H candle (750.04). This drop is larger than 25% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 124 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -71.6% to -73.9%. This drop is larger than 14% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at -71.6%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -73.9%, WHEAT is 13.87 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 0.63 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.4%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Bear Critical, -73.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -26.3%. WHEAT (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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