Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.113 to 158.421, up 0.19%
Market Energy Bull Bias 46.5% to Bull Critical 68.8%, up 22.4 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.10%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.19%
Energy▼ 16.0▲ 1.8▼ 2.1▲ 22.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.10%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.03%▲ 0.19%▼ 16.0▲ 1.8▼ 2.1▲ 22.4
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.19% — higher than 77% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 22.4 pts — higher than 75% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,296 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-05
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,071 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 392 times — 36.6%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 679 times — 63.4%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 68.84%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 5.66%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 8.84%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-06 21:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
46.5%
Bull Bias
68.8%
Bull Critical
Expected at
12:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USDJPY in the near-extreme Bull energy level.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy at 68.8%, up +22.4% from 46.5% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -61.9 to +68.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.421, up 0.19% from the previous candle (158.113). Market Energy was 68.8%, up 22.4 points from 46.5%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.421, up 0.19% from the previous 4H candle (158.113). This rise is larger than 77% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,091 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 22.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 46.5% to 68.8%. This rise is larger than 75% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 46.5%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 68.8%, USDJPY is 5.66 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 8.84 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 42.1%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -20.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 68.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -34.6%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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