Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 158.161 to 158.113, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Bias 48.6% to Bull Bias 46.5%, down 2.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.04%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.03%
Energy▲ 33.7▼ 16.0▲ 1.8▼ 2.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.04%▼ 0.10%▲ 0.07%▼ 0.03%▲ 33.7▼ 16.0▲ 1.8▼ 2.1
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 20% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 2.1 pts — higher than 12% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,297 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-06
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,592 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 724 times — 45.5%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 868 times — 54.5%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 46.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 13.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 25.58%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-06 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
48.6%
Bull Bias
46.5%
Bull Bias
Expected at
08:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, USDJPY noted at Bull Bias of Market Energy.

On the measurement side, Market trend energy recorded a -2.1% drop from the previous candle, from 48.6% to 46.5%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -61.9 to +62.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 07-10-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 158.113, down 0.03% from the previous candle (158.161). Market Energy was 46.5%, down 2.1 points from 48.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.113, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (158.161). This drop is larger than 20% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,090 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 2.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 48.6% to 46.5%. This drop is larger than 12% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 48.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 46.5%, USDJPY is 13.54 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 25.58 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 74%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -3.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 46.5%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -43.6%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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