Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.38 to 157.356, down 0.02%
Market Energy Bull Bias 56.1% to Bull Bias 49.5%, down 6.6 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.06%0.06%0.03%0.02%
Energy19.04.86.86.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.06% 0.06% 0.03% 0.02% 19.0 4.8 6.8 6.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 10% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.6 pts — higher than 35% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,235 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,585 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 720 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 865 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 49.51%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 10.49%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 28.63%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-21 21:00 UTC
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Market Energy
56.1%
Bull Bias
49.5%
Bull Bias
Expected at
12:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, Market Energy of USDJPY indicates Bull Bias.

Market trend update: Market Energy reading dropped -6.6%, moving from 56.1% to 49.5% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -2.4 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 04:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.356, down 0.02% from the previous candle (157.38). Market Energy was 49.5%, down 6.6 points from 56.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.356, down 0.02% from the previous 4H candle (157.38). This drop is larger than 10% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,025 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 56.1% to 49.5%. This drop is larger than 35% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 56.1%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 49.5%, USDJPY is 10.49 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 28.63 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 76.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 49.5%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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