Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDJPY from 157.426 to 157.38, down 0.03%
Market Energy Bull Critical 63.0% to Bull Bias 56.1%, down 6.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.14%0.06%0.06%0.03%
Energy30.119.04.86.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.14% 0.06% 0.06% 0.03% 30.1 19.0 4.8 6.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.03% — higher than 19% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 6.8 pts — higher than 36% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,235 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-21
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,585 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 720 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 865 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 56.12%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 3.88%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 35.24%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-21 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
63.0%
Bull Critical
56.1%
Bull Bias
49.5%
Bull Bias
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USDJPY currently in trend energy leaning Bull.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy dropped -6.8% from the previous session, from 63% to 56.1%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -2.4 to +97.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 157.38, down 0.03% from the previous candle (157.426). Market Energy was 56.1%, down 6.8 points from 63%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.38, down 0.03% from the previous 4H candle (157.426). This drop is larger than 19% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,024 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 6.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 63% to 56.1%. This drop is larger than 36% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 63%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 56.1%, USDJPY is 3.88 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 35.24 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 100%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 49.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 56.1%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.6%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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