Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
AVAXUSD from 11.231 to 11.005, down 2.01%
Market Energy Bull Bias 42.4% to Bull Bias 34.2%, down 8.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 2.01%▲ 0.07%▲ 1.28%▼ 2.01%
Energy▼ 10.3▼ 6.4▲ 3.8▼ 8.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 2.01%▲ 0.07%▲ 1.28%▼ 2.01%▼ 10.3▼ 6.4▲ 3.8▼ 8.2
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 2.01% — higher than 74% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.2 pts — higher than 43% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias AVAXUSD 4H

Sample: 13,158 4H candles from 2020-09-22 to 2026-09-24
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,051 times

▸When AVAXUSD is in Bull Bias:

  • then AVAXUSD moved to higher Market State: 418 times — 39.8%
  • then AVAXUSD moved to lower Market State: 633 times — 60.2%

▸Current AVAXUSD market energy: 34.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 25.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 13.35%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

AVAXUSD · H4 · 2026-09-22 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
42.4%
Bull Bias
34.2%
Bull Bias
1.9%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, AVAXUSD within the Bull Bias energy zone.

Per the 2AiTrading energy measurement system, Energy delta -8.2%: Market Energy at 34.2%, previously 42.4%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 6 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, AVAXUSD Market Energy ranged from +31.3 to +99.7.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did AVAXUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 22-09-2026 closed, AVAXUSD was at 11.005, down 2.01% from the previous candle (11.231). Market Energy was 34.2%, down 8.2 points from 42.4%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did AVAXUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

AVAXUSD closed at 11.005, down 2.01% from the previous 4H candle (11.231). This drop is larger than 74% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD, across 13,144 candles since 2019.

How did AVAXUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 42.4% to 34.2%. This drop is larger than 43% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for AVAXUSD.

Do AVAXUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was AVAXUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had AVAXUSD at 42.4%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does AVAXUSD energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 34.2%, AVAXUSD is 25.77 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 13.35 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 26%. Against this backdrop, AVAXUSD (Bull Bias, 34.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 30.8%. AVAXUSD (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for AVAXUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for AVAXUSD on the AVAXUSD overview →

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