Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.34 to 154.109, down 0.15%
Market Energy Bull Critical 67.2% to Bull Bias 29.2%, down 38.0 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.06%0.12%0.15%
Energy4.40.710.738.0
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.06% 0.12% 0.15% 4.4 0.7 10.7 38.0
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.15% — higher than 66% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 38.0 pts — higher than 86% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,191 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,580 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 863 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 29.2%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 30.8%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 8.32%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
67.2%
Bull Critical
29.2%
Bull Bias
Expected at
20:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, USDJPY in the Bull Bias level.

Looking at the energy level, A -38% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now 29.2% (previous: 67.2%).

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +77.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.109, down 0.15% from the previous candle (154.34). Market Energy was 29.2%, down 38.0 points from 67.2%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.109, down 0.15% from the previous 4H candle (154.34). This drop is larger than 66% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,985 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 38 percentage points from the previous candle — from 67.2% to 29.2%. This drop is larger than 86% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving down in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 67.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bull Bias.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 29.2%, USDJPY is 30.8 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 8.32 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.5%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 29.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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