Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.529 to 154.34, down 0.12%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 77.9% to Bull Critical 67.2%, down 10.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.05%0.10%0.06%0.12%
Energy4.94.40.710.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.05% 0.10% 0.06% 0.12% 4.9 4.4 0.7 10.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.12% — higher than 59% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.7 pts — higher than 52% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,190 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 1,061 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 388 times36.6%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 673 times63.4%

Current USDJPY market energy: 67.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 7.32%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 7.18%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-11 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
77.9%
Bull Extreme
67.2%
Bull Critical
Expected at
16:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Right as the 4H candle closes, USDJPY within the Bull Critical state.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy dropped -10.7% from the previous candle, from 77.9% to 67.2%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +77.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 154.34, down 0.12% from the previous candle (154.529). Market Energy was 67.2%, down 10.7 points from 77.9%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 154.34, down 0.12% from the previous 4H candle (154.529). This drop is larger than 59% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,984 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 77.9% to 67.2%. This drop is larger than 52% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 77.9%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 67.2%, USDJPY is 7.32 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 7.18 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 4.9%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Critical, 67.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 24.8%. USDJPY (Bull Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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