Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 153.467 to 153.667, up 0.13%
Market Energy Neutral -19.7% to Neutral -3.5%, up 16.2 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.18%0.27%0.08%0.13%
Energy0.515.313.116.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.18% 0.27% 0.08% 0.13% 0.5 15.3 13.1 16.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.13% — higher than 62% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.2 pts — higher than 65% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,189 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 1,517 times

When USDJPY is in Neutral:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 836 times55.1%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 681 times44.9%

Current USDJPY market energy: -3.48%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 24.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 17.4%

"Why does archaeology matter?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-09 05:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-19.7%
Neutral
-3.5%
Neutral
-7.1%
Neutral
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USDJPY shows the balanced trend energy zone.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, A +16.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -3.5% (previous: -19.7%).

Time in Neutral energy zone: 7 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -89.6 to +9.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.667, up 0.13% from the previous candle (153.467). Market Energy was -3.5%, up 16.2 points from -19.7%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.667, up 0.13% from the previous 4H candle (153.467). This rise is larger than 62% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 11,973 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -19.7% to -3.5%. This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at -19.7%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -3.5%, USDJPY is 24.36 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 17.4 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 72.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 60.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Neutral, -3.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -69.2%. USDJPY energy is currently above DXY by 65.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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