Analysis

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Price and energy
WHEAT from 735.8 to 738.17, up 0.32%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.3% to Neutral -8.4%, up 61.9 pts
Up candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.64%0.48%0.60%0.32%
Energy19.98.021.561.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.64% 0.48% 0.60% 0.32% 19.9 8.0 21.5 61.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.32% — higher than 29% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 61.9 pts — higher than 87% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral WHEAT 4H

Sample: 137 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Neutral occurrences: 11 times

When WHEAT is in Neutral:

  • then WHEAT moved to higher Market State: 4 times36.4%
  • then WHEAT moved to lower Market State: 7 times63.6%

Current WHEAT market energy: -8.36%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 29.24%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 12.52%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

WHEAT · H4 · 2026-09-10 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-70.3%
Bear Critical
-8.4%
Neutral
Expected at
04:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, WHEAT recorded in the Neutral state.

Observing the WHEAT market this session, Market Energy rose +61.9% from the previous candle, from -70.3% to -8.4%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, WHEAT Market Energy ranged from -99.7 to -8.4.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did WHEAT price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, WHEAT was at 738.17, up 0.32% from the previous candle (735.8). Market Energy was -8.4%, up 61.9 points from -70.3%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did WHEAT price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

WHEAT closed at 738.17, up 0.32% from the previous 4H candle (735.8). This rise is larger than 29% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT, across 138 candles since 2019.

How did WHEAT Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 61.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.3% to -8.4%. This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for WHEAT.

Do WHEAT price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was WHEAT in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had WHEAT at -70.3%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, WHEAT moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Neutral.

Where does WHEAT energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At -8.4%, WHEAT is 29.24 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 12.52 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -97.3%. Against this backdrop, WHEAT (Neutral, -8.4%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.5%. WHEAT energy is currently below DXY by 71.9 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for WHEAT.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for WHEAT on the WHEAT overview →

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