Analysis

USDJPY 158.495 ↓0.02%: Bears have the edge · 1H 08:00 Oct 13, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.533 · High 158.534 · Low 158.386 · Close 158.495 · Range (high − low) 0.148
USDJPY closed at 158.495, down 0.039 (-0.02%) from 158.534.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -39.2% to Bear Bias at -49.8%, down 10.6 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.617158.639158.534158.495
Energy11.3%13.9%-39.2%-49.8%
Price change↓ 0.01%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.02%
Energy change↓ 20.0↑ 2.6↓ 53.1↓ 10.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↓ 0.01%↑ 0.01%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.02%↓ 20.0↑ 2.6↓ 53.1↓ 10.6
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.02% — higher than 33% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.6 pts — higher than 58% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDJPY 1H

Sample: 73,416 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 5,123 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 3,272 times — 63.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 1,851 times — 36.1%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -49.78%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 28.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 10.22%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-10-13 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-39.2%
Bear Bias
-49.8%
Bear Bias
-89.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Right as the 1H candle closes, USDJPY currently in energy leaning Bear.

Looking at the energy level, Compared to the previous candle (-39.2%), Market Energy dropped -10.6% to -49.8%.

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -91.6 to 97.3.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 08:00 on 13-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.495, down 0.02% from the previous candle (158.534). Market Energy was -49.8%, down 10.6 points from -39.2%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.495, down 0.02% from the previous 1H candle (158.534). This drop is larger than 33% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,481 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -39.2% to -49.8%. This drop is larger than 58% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -39.2%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -49.8%, USDJPY is 28.9 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 10.22 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -90.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -75.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Bias, -49.8%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy 17.9%. USDJPY energy is currently below DXY by 67.7 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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