Analysis

USDJPY 157.993 ↓0.16%: Bulls have the edge · 4H 04:00 Oct 17, 2026

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Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.249 · High 158.279 · Low 157.9605 · Close 157.993 · Range (high − low) 0.3185
USDJPY closed at 157.993, down 0.255 (-0.16%) from 158.248.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bull Bias zone at 40.1% to Bull Bias at 29.2%, down 10.9 points.
Price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.008158.042158.248157.993
Energy-8.2%5.8%40.1%29.2%
Price change↑ 0.12%↑ 0.02%↑ 0.13%↓ 0.16%
Energy change↑ 2.4↑ 14.0↑ 34.4↓ 10.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.12%↑ 0.02%↑ 0.13%↓ 0.16%↑ 2.4↑ 14.0↑ 34.4↓ 10.9
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.9 pts — higher than 53% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,352 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-19
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,602 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 728 times — 45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 874 times — 54.6%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: 29.23%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 30.77%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 8.35%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-10-16 17:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
40.1%
Bull Bias
29.2%
Bull Bias
4.0%
Neutral
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USDJPY recorded in the Bull Bias level.

Market trend energy Market Energy dropped -10.9% from the previous session, from 40.1% to 29.2%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -94.6 to 91.5.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 04:00 on 17-10-2026, USDJPY was at 157.993, down 0.16% from the previous candle (158.248). Market Energy was 29.2%, down 10.9 points from 40.1%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 157.993, down 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (158.248). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,138 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40.1% to 29.2%. This drop is larger than 53% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 40.1%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 29.2%, USDJPY is 30.77 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 8.35 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -99%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -92.6%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 29.2%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 77.6%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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