Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.109 to 156.305, up 0.77%
Market Energy Bull Bias 32.9% to Bull Extreme 86.7%, up 53.9 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.13%0.07%0.07%0.77%
Energy29.11.68.753.9
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.13% 0.07% 0.07% 0.77% 29.1 1.6 8.7 53.9
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.77% — higher than 99% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 53.9 pts — higher than 93% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,217 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 818 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 818 times100%

Current USDJPY market energy: 86.72%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 13.28%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 12.22%

"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-16 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
32.9%
Bull Bias
86.7%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
08:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Once measurement on the 4H timeframe completes, USDJPY in the Bull Extreme state.

On the 2AiTrading energy system, Market Energy at 86.7%, up +53.9% from 32.9% in the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -54.3 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 00:00 on 17-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 156.305, up 0.77% from the previous candle (155.109). Market Energy was 86.7%, up 53.9 points from 32.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 156.305, up 0.77% from the previous 4H candle (155.109). This rise is larger than 99% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,006 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 53.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from 32.9% to 86.7%. This rise is larger than 93% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 32.9%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 86.7%, USDJPY is 13.28 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 12.22 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 63.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Extreme, 86.7%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 28%. USDJPY (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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