Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.215 to 155.109, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Bias 41.6% to Bull Bias 32.9%, down 8.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.13%0.07%0.07%
Energy5.729.11.68.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.13% 0.07% 0.07% 5.7 29.1 1.6 8.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 39% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 8.7 pts — higher than 45% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,210 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,581 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 864 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 32.87%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 27.13%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 11.99%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-16 13:00 UTC
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Market Energy
41.6%
Bull Bias
32.9%
Bull Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The Bull trend energy zone determined for USDJPY through the 4H candle data.

Market energy movement Compared to the previous candle (41.6%), Market Energy dropped -8.7% to 32.9%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -60.2 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 155.109, down 0.07% from the previous candle (155.215). Market Energy was 32.9%, down 8.7 points from 41.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 155.109, down 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (155.215). This drop is larger than 39% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,005 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 8.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 41.6% to 32.9%. This drop is larger than 45% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 41.6%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 32.9%, USDJPY is 27.13 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 11.99 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 66.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 32.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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