Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 155.112 to 155.215, up 0.07%
Market Energy Bull Bias 40.0% to Bull Bias 41.6%, up 1.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.17%0.04%0.13%0.07%
Energy8.45.729.11.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.17% 0.04% 0.13% 0.07% 8.4 5.7 29.1 1.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.07% — higher than 37% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 1.6 pts — higher than 9% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias USDJPY 4H

Sample: 18,210 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,581 times

When USDJPY is in Bull Bias:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 717 times45.4%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 864 times54.6%

Current USDJPY market energy: 41.58%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 18.42%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 20.7%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H4 · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
40.0%
Bull Bias
41.6%
Bull Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

The system just recorded USDJPY in the Bull Bias state after the 4H candle closed.

Looking at the Market Energy reading, Market Energy reading rose +1.6%, moving from 40% to 41.6% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 2 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -68.8 to +97.3.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 155.215, up 0.07% from the previous candle (155.112). Market Energy was 41.6%, up 1.6 points from 40%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 155.215, up 0.07% from the previous 4H candle (155.112). This rise is larger than 37% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY, across 12,004 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 1.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from 40% to 41.6%. This rise is larger than 9% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDJPY at 40%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 41.6%, USDJPY is 18.42 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 20.7 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy -9.3%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bull Bias, 41.6%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.5%. USDJPY (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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