Analysis

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Price and energy
GER40 Index from 25,424.7 to 25,498.9 points, up 0.29%
Market Energy Neutral 19.6% to Bull Bias 42.7%, up 23.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.02%0.11%0.29%
Energy2.33.614.023.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.02% 0.11% 0.29% 2.3 3.6 14.0 23.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.29% — higher than 59% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 23.1 pts — higher than 73% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias GER40 Index 4H

Sample: 14,792 4H candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-09-16
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 1,332 times

When GER40 Index is in Bull Bias:

  • then GER40 Index moved to higher Market State: 615 times46.2%
  • then GER40 Index moved to lower Market State: 717 times53.8%

Current GER40 Index market energy: 42.74%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 17.26%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 21.86%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

GER40 · H4 · 2026-09-16 09:00 UTC
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Market Energy
19.6%
Neutral
42.7%
Bull Bias
Expected at
00:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Reading from the 4H candle, GER40 Index recorded in the Bull Bias state.

Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Compared to the previous candle (19.6%), Market Energy rose +23.1% to 42.7%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GER40 Index Market Energy ranged from -55.5 to +89.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GER40 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, GER40 Index was at 25,498.9, up 0.29% from the previous candle (25,424.7). Market Energy was 42.7%, up 23.1 points from 19.6%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did GER40 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GER40 closed at 25,498.9, up 0.29% from the previous 4H candle (25,424.7). This rise is larger than 59% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40, across 9,821 candles since 2019.

How did GER40 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 23.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.6% to 42.7%. This rise is larger than 73% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for GER40.

Do GER40 price and energy agree?

Yes. This candle recorded price moving up in the same direction as energy. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GER40 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GER40 Index at 19.6%, Neutral — when this candle closed, GER40 Index moved up to a higher zone: Neutral → Bull Bias.

Where does GER40 Index energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 42.7%, GER40 Index is 17.26 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 21.86 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 43.3%. Against this backdrop, GER40 Index (Bull Bias, 42.7%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 73.5%. GER40 Index (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GER40 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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