Research

GER40 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
14,946 GER40 4H candles
Period
2014-07-11 – 2026-10-22 (12.3 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

GER40 — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 538 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 538 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

GER40 — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 691 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 473 times — 68.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 218 times — 31.5%

GER40 — Bear Bias — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 1,170 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 763 times — 65.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 407 times — 34.8%

Current market energy at -34.15%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 13.27 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 25.85 points

GER40 — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,283 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 718 times — 56%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 565 times — 44%

GER40 — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,351 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 625 times — 46.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 726 times — 53.7%

GER40 — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 936 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 346 times — 37%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 590 times — 63%

GER40 — Bull Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 740 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 740 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of GER40?

Historically, when GER40 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 65.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 34.8% of the time (across 1,170 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -34.15%, 13.27 points from the upper bound and 25.85 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 14,946 candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing GER40's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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