Research

GER40 4H — Energy Zone Transition Trends

Updated to candle

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GER40 on the GER40 Index overview →

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Sample: 14,723 candles 4H from 2014-07-11 to 2026-08-28

GER40Bear Extreme 4H

Occurrences: 529 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 529 times 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times 0%

GER40Bear Critical 4H

Occurrences: 680 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 467 times 68.7%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 213 times 31.3%

GER40Bear Bias 4H

Occurrences: 1,156 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 755 times 65.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 401 times 34.7%

GER40Neutral 4H

Occurrences: 1,264 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 708 times 56%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 556 times 44%

GER40Bull Bias 4H

Occurrences: 1,327 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 613 times 46.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 714 times 53.8%

GER40Bull Critical 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 920 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 342 times 37.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 578 times 62.8%

Current market energy at 61.8%
Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 12.7 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 1.8 points

GER40Bull Extreme 4H

Occurrences: 728 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 728 times 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of GER40?

Historically, when GER40 was in the Bull Critical zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 37.2% of the time and down to a lower zone 62.8% of the time (across 920 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%. The market is at 61.8%, 12.7 points from the upper bound and 1.8 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 14,723 candles from 2014-07-11 to 2026-08-28, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing GER40's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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