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Research

GER40 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
62,533 GER40 1H candles
Period
2014-07-10 – 2026-10-22 (12.3 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD4H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Bull Extreme2,511 times
↑0%
↓100%
Bull Critical3,264 times
↑35.4%
↓64.6%
Bull Bias4,894 times
↑43.6%
↓56.4%
Neutral4,749 times
↑54.5%
↓45.5%
Bear Bias★★4,452 times
↑62.1%
↓37.9%
Bear Critical2,797 times
↑70.1%
↓29.9%
Bear Extreme2,154 times
↑100%
↓0%
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Market Energy→Market State→Threshold→Bear Bias→Sellers→

GER40 — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,154 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,154 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

GER40 — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 2,797 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,960 times — 70.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 837 times — 29.9%

GER40 — Bear Bias — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 4,452 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,763 times — 62.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,689 times — 37.9%

Current market energy at -29.93%
Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.05 points
Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 30.07 points

GER40 — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 4,749 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,586 times — 54.5%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,163 times — 45.5%

GER40 — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 4,894 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,133 times — 43.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,761 times — 56.4%

GER40 — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,264 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,154 times — 35.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,110 times — 64.6%

GER40 — Bull Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,511 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,511 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of GER40?

Historically, when GER40 was in the Bear Bias zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 62.1% of the time and down to a lower zone 37.9% of the time (across 4,452 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%. The market is at -29.93%, 9.05 points from the upper bound and 30.07 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 62,533 candles from 2014-07-10 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing GER40's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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