Research

GER40 D: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
3,777 GER40 D candles
Period
2013-01-03 – 2026-10-21 (13.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
W4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

GER40 — Bear Extreme — D

Occurrences: 137 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 137 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

GER40 — Bear Critical — D

Occurrences: 163 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 109 times — 66.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 54 times — 33.1%

GER40 — Bear Bias — D

Occurrences: 295 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 194 times — 65.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 101 times — 34.2%

GER40 — Neutral — D

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 351 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 194 times — 55.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 157 times — 44.7%

Current market energy at 19.11%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 1.77 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 39.99 points

GER40 — Bull Bias — D

Occurrences: 367 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 179 times — 48.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 188 times — 51.2%

GER40 — Bull Critical — D

Occurrences: 257 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 94 times — 36.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 163 times — 63.4%

GER40 — Bull Extreme — D

Occurrences: 203 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 203 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of GER40?

Historically, when GER40 was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 55.3% of the time and down to a lower zone 44.7% of the time (across 351 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 19.11%, 1.77 points from the upper bound and 39.99 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 3,777 candles from 2013-01-03 to 2026-10-21, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing GER40's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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