Analysis

USDJPY 158.12 ↓0.04%: Bears in the peak-force zone · 1H 08:00 Oct 12, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 158.187 · High 158.207 · Low 158.097 · Close 158.12 · Range (high − low) 0.11
USDJPY closed at 158.12, down 0.069 (-0.04%) from 158.189.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Bear Bias zone at -52.1% to Bear Extreme at -91.6%, down 39.4 points.
Third straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price158.349158.304158.189158.12
Energy41.1%36.7%-52.1%-91.6%
Price change↑ 0.02%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.04%
Energy change↑ 13.0↓ 4.5↓ 88.8↓ 39.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.02%↓ 0.03%↓ 0.07%↓ 0.04%↑ 13.0↓ 4.5↓ 88.8↓ 39.4
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.04% — higher than 51% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 39.4 pts — higher than 89% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDJPY 1H

Sample: 73,416 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-16
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 2,179 times

▸When USDJPY is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,179 times — 100%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 0 times — 0%

▸Current USDJPY market energy: -91.56%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 17.06%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 8.44%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-10-12 00:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live USDJPY chart →
Market Energy
-52.1%
Bear Bias
-91.6%
Bear Extreme
-81.5%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 1H candle, USDJPY classified as the Bear Extreme level.

Market movement just recorded on the 1H timeframe, Market Energy moved from -52.1% to -91.6%, down -39.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -91.6 to 97.4.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle closed at 08:00 on 12-10-2026, USDJPY was at 158.12, down 0.04% from the previous candle (158.189). Market Energy was -91.6%, down 39.4 points from -52.1%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 158.12, down 0.04% from the previous 1H candle (158.189). This drop is larger than 51% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 48,457 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 39.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52.1% to -91.6%. This drop is larger than 89% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -52.1%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -91.6%, USDJPY is 17.06 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 8.44 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 79.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Critical with energy 68.1%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Extreme, -91.6%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -97.1%. USDJPY (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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