Analysis

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Price and energy
USDJPY from 154.089 to 153.979, down 0.07%
Market Energy Bear Bias -52.5% to Bear Critical -67.2%, down 14.7 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.08%0.01%0.07%
Energy25.24.910.114.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.08% 0.01% 0.07% 25.2 4.9 10.1 14.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.07% — higher than 68% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 14.7 pts — higher than 68% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDJPY 1H

Sample: 72,805 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 3,067 times

When USDJPY is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDJPY moved to higher Market State: 2,204 times71.9%
  • then USDJPY moved to lower Market State: 863 times28.1%

Current USDJPY market energy: -67.17%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 7.17%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.33%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

USDJPY · H1 · 2026-09-11 10:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-52.5%
Bear Bias
-67.2%
Bear Critical
-57.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, USDJPY currently in the Bear Critical level.

On the energy side, Compared to the previous candle (-52.5%), Market Energy dropped -14.7% to -67.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDJPY Market Energy ranged from -100 to +97.2.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDJPY price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 17:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDJPY was at 153.979, down 0.07% from the previous candle (154.089). Market Energy was -67.2%, down 14.7 points from -52.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDJPY price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDJPY closed at 153.979, down 0.07% from the previous 1H candle (154.089). This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY, across 47,963 candles since 2019.

How did USDJPY Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 14.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52.5% to -67.2%. This drop is larger than 68% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDJPY.

Do USDJPY price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDJPY in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDJPY at -52.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, USDJPY moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does USDJPY energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -67.2%, USDJPY is 7.17 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.33 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 81.4%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.4%. Against this backdrop, USDJPY (Bear Critical, -67.2%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 71.8%. USDJPY (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDJPY.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDJPY on the USDJPY overview →

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