Analysis

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Candle close
Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.4157 to 1.4164, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Bias 49.8% to Bull Critical 60.6%, up 10.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.10%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.05%
Energy▲ 4.3▼ 7.4▼ 0.1▲ 10.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.10%▼ 0.04%▲ 0.05%▲ 0.05%▲ 4.3▼ 7.4▼ 0.1▲ 10.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 38% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 10.8 pts — higher than 56% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,259 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-28
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 623 times

▸When USDCAD is in Bull Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 182 times — 29.2%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 441 times — 70.8%

▸Current USDCAD market energy: 60.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 13.86%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 0.64%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
49.8%
Bull Bias
60.6%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

USDCAD classified into the Bull Critical level after the 4H candle completed.

Market energy movement Energy delta +10.8%: Market Energy at 60.6%, previously 49.8%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +49.8 to +94.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.4164, up 0.05% from the previous candle (1.4157). Market Energy was 60.6%, up 10.8 points from 49.8%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.4164, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (1.4157). This rise is larger than 38% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 12,052 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 10.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 49.8% to 60.6%. This rise is larger than 56% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 49.8%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 60.6%, USDCAD is 13.86 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 0.64 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.8%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Critical, 60.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5.5%. USDCAD energy is currently above DXY by 66.1 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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