Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,654.15 to 5,754, up 1.77%
Market Energy Bull Bias 39.1% to Bull Critical 71.9%, up 32.8 pts
Up candle #2 in a row—Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▼ 0.43%▼ 0.77%▲ 0.83%▲ 1.77%
Energy▼ 7.6▼ 18.8▲ 0.8▲ 32.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▼ 0.43%▼ 0.77%▲ 0.83%▲ 1.77%▼ 7.6▼ 18.8▲ 0.8▲ 32.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 1.77% — higher than 60% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 32.8 pts — higher than 87% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical COCOA 4H

Sample: 90 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 5 times

▸When COCOA is in Bull Critical:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 1 times — 20%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 80%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 71.95%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 2.55%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 11.95%

"A person's history reveals more than you might think" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
39.1%
Bull Bias
71.9%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, Market Energy of COCOA indicates Bull in Critical state.

End-of-session update for 4H, Energy delta +32.8%: Market Energy at 71.9%, previously 39.1%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -22.5 to +71.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,754, up 1.77% from the previous candle (5,654.15). Market Energy was 71.9%, up 32.8 points from 39.1%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,754, up 1.77% from the previous 4H candle (5,654.15). This rise is larger than 60% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA, across 90 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 32.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 39.1% to 71.9%. This rise is larger than 87% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at 39.1%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, COCOA moved up to a higher zone: Bull Bias → Bull Critical.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 71.9%, COCOA is 2.55 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 11.95 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.8%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Critical, 71.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5.5%. COCOA energy is currently above DXY by 77.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

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