Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
COCOA from 5,607.65 to 5,654.15, up 0.83%
Market Energy Bull Bias 38.3% to Bull Bias 39.1%, up 0.8 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 1.91%▼ 0.43%▼ 0.77%▲ 0.83%
Energy▲ 43.1▼ 7.6▼ 18.8▲ 0.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 1.91%▼ 0.43%▼ 0.77%▲ 0.83%▲ 43.1▼ 7.6▼ 18.8▲ 0.8
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.83% — higher than 34% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 0.8 pts — higher than 7% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Bias COCOA 4H

Sample: 89 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Bias occurrences: 6 times

▸When COCOA is in Bull Bias:

  • then COCOA moved to higher Market State: 2 times — 33.3%
  • then COCOA moved to lower Market State: 4 times — 66.7%

▸Current COCOA market energy: 39.1%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Bias (at 60%): 20.9%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Bias (at 20.88%): 18.22%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

COCOA · H4 · 2026-09-25 13:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live COCOA chart →
Market Energy
38.3%
Bull Bias
39.1%
Bull Bias
Expected at
04:10
Zone
20.88 – 60
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

With the 4H candle just closed, COCOA currently in trend energy leaning Bull.

Per the 2AI model, The energy level rose +0.8%: from 38.3% now at 39.1%.

Time in Bull Bias energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, COCOA Market Energy ranged from -87.5 to +64.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did COCOA price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 20:00 on 25-09-2026 closed, COCOA was at 5,654.15, up 0.83% from the previous candle (5,607.65). Market Energy was 39.1%, up 0.8 points from 38.3%, in the Bull Bias state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Bias zone spans 20.88% to 60%.

How much did COCOA price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

COCOA closed at 5,654.15, up 0.83% from the previous 4H candle (5,607.65). This rise is larger than 34% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA, across 89 candles since 2019.

How did COCOA Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 0.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 38.3% to 39.1%. This rise is larger than 7% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for COCOA.

Do COCOA price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was COCOA in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had COCOA at 38.3%, Bull Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does COCOA energy sit within the Bull Bias zone?

At 39.1%, COCOA is 20.9 points from the upper boundary of Bull Bias (60%) and 18.22 points from the lower boundary (20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Bias mean?

Bull Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 24.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 0.8%. Against this backdrop, COCOA (Bull Bias, 39.1%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -71.6%. COCOA (Bull Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for COCOA.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for COCOA on the COCOA overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .