Analysis

·

Candle close
Price and energy
GBPAUD from 1.8913 to 1.8882, down 0.16%
Market Energy Bull Extreme 75.7% to Bull Critical 62.9%, down 12.7 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price▲ 0.03%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.36%▼ 0.16%
Energy▲ 3.7▼ 26.3▲ 60.2▼ 12.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
▲ 0.03%▼ 0.08%▲ 0.36%▼ 0.16%▲ 3.7▼ 26.3▲ 60.2▼ 12.7
priceenergy▲ up · ▼ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.16% — higher than 85% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 12.7 pts — higher than 55% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Critical GBPAUD 4H

Sample: 279 4H candles from 2026-07-22 to 2026-09-25
Number of Bull Critical occurrences: 8 times

▸When GBPAUD is in Bull Critical:

  • then GBPAUD moved to higher Market State: 1 times — 12.5%
  • then GBPAUD moved to lower Market State: 7 times — 87.5%

▸Current GBPAUD market energy: 62.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bull Critical (at 74.5%): 11.56%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Critical (at 60%): 2.94%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

GBPAUD · H4 · 2026-09-28 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live GBPAUD chart →
Market Energy
75.7%
Bull Extreme
62.9%
Bull Critical
Expected at
00:10
Zone
60 – 74.5
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the 4H candle, GBPAUD shows the Bull Critical zone.

At the 4H session close, Market trend energy recorded a -12.7% drop from the previous candle, from 75.7% to 62.9%.

Time in Bull Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, GBPAUD Market Energy ranged from +15.4 to +79.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did GBPAUD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 28-09-2026 closed, GBPAUD was at 1.8882, down 0.16% from the previous candle (1.8913). Market Energy was 62.9%, down 12.7 points from 75.7%, in the Bull Critical state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Critical zone spans 60% to 74.5%.

How much did GBPAUD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

GBPAUD closed at 1.8882, down 0.16% from the previous 4H candle (1.8913). This drop is larger than 85% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD, across 282 candles since 2019.

How did GBPAUD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 12.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from 75.7% to 62.9%. This drop is larger than 55% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for GBPAUD.

Do GBPAUD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was GBPAUD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had GBPAUD at 75.7%, Bull Extreme — when this candle closed, GBPAUD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Extreme → Bull Critical.

Where does GBPAUD energy sit within the Bull Critical zone?

At 62.9%, GBPAUD is 11.56 points from the upper boundary of Bull Critical (74.5%) and 2.94 points from the lower boundary (60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Critical mean?

Bull Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Critical with energy -62.9%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -22.8%. Against this backdrop, GBPAUD (Bull Critical, 62.9%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -5.5%. GBPAUD energy is currently above DXY by 68.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for GBPAUD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for GBPAUD on the GBPAUD overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .