Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3903 to 1.3903, down 0.01%
Market Energy Bear Critical -66.5% to Bear Extreme -76.9%, down 10.3 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.00%0.02%0.06%0.01%
Energy4.517.1127.810.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.00% 0.02% 0.06% 0.01% 4.5 17.1 127.8 10.3
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.01% — higher than 8% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 10.3 pts — higher than 56% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCAD 1H

Sample: 72,830 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 920 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 920 times100%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDCAD market energy: -76.89%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 2.39%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 23.11%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H1 · 2026-09-15 07:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-66.5%
Bear Critical
-76.9%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

USDCAD processing result: the peak Bear energy state after the 1H candle closed.

On the energy side, Market Energy moved from -66.5% to -76.9%, down -10.3% from the previous candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -76.9 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 14:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3903, down 0.01% from the previous candle (1.3903). Market Energy was -76.9%, down 10.3 points from -66.5%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3903, down 0.01% from the previous 1H candle (1.3903). This drop is larger than 8% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD, across 47,997 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 10.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from -66.5% to -76.9%. This drop is larger than 56% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCAD at -66.5%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -76.9%, USDCAD is 2.39 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 23.11 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -95.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Extreme, -76.9%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Neutral with Market Energy -3.4%. USDCAD energy is currently below DXY by 73.5 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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