Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3903 to 1.3914, up 0.08%
Market Energy Bull Critical 71.9% to Bull Extreme 77.0%, up 5.2 pts
Up candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.10%0.01%0.01%0.08%
Energy14.310.11.65.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.10% 0.01% 0.01% 0.08% 14.3 10.1 1.6 5.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.08% — higher than 50% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 5.2 pts — higher than 32% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,200 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 276 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 276 times100%

Current USDCAD market energy: 77.04%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 22.96%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.54%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-15 01:00 UTC
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Market Energy
71.9%
Bull Critical
77.0%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
16:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

As the 4H candle closes, USDCAD noted at the Bull Extreme state.

Market trend update: Compared to the previous candle (71.9%), Market Energy rose +5.2% to 77%.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from +50.6 to +97.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 08:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3914, up 0.08% from the previous candle (1.3903). Market Energy was 77%, up 5.2 points from 71.9%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3914, up 0.08% from the previous 4H candle (1.3903). This rise is larger than 50% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,996 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 5.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from 71.9% to 77%. This rise is larger than 32% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved up on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 71.9%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 77%, USDCAD is 22.96 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.54 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 14.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Neutral with energy 2.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Extreme, 77%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 63.7%. USDCAD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bull side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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