Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3911 to 1.3903, down 0.06%
Market Energy Bull Critical 61.2% to Bear Critical -66.5%, down 127.8 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.04%0.00%0.02%0.06%
Energy19.84.517.1127.8
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.04% 0.00% 0.02% 0.06% 19.8 4.5 17.1 127.8
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.06% — higher than 67% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 127.8 pts — largest on record (since 2019)
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDCAD 1H

Sample: 72,823 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-14
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,132 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 1,558 times73.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 574 times26.9%

Current USDCAD market energy: -66.54%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.54%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.96%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H1 · 2026-09-15 06:00 UTC
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Market Energy
61.2%
Bull Critical
-66.5%
Bear Critical
Expected at
15:10
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the 1H candle completes, Result for USDCAD: the near-extreme Bear energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, Energy delta -127.8%: Market Energy at -66.5%, previously 61.2%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -66.5 to +99.8.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 13:00 on 15-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3903, down 0.06% from the previous candle (1.3911). Market Energy was -66.5%, down 127.8 points from 61.2%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3903, down 0.06% from the previous 1H candle (1.3911). This drop is larger than 67% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD, across 47,996 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 127.8 percentage points from the previous candle — from 61.2% to -66.5%. This is the largest of all drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD on record since 2019.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCAD at 61.2%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Critical → Bear Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -66.5%, USDCAD is 6.54 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.96 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -76.7%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -66.1%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Critical, -66.5%) has higher energy than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 56.5%. USDCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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