Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3771 to 1.3778, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bear Extreme -82.0% to Bear Critical -72.5%, up 9.5 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.03%0.06%0.09%0.05%
Energy2.77.83.49.5
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.03% 0.06% 0.09% 0.05% 2.7 7.8 3.4 9.5
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 65% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 9.5 pts — higher than 54% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical USDCAD 1H

Sample: 72,750 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 2,132 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Critical:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 1,558 times73.1%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 574 times26.9%

Current USDCAD market energy: -72.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 12.46%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 2.04%

"To truly understand anything, study its history" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H1 · 2026-09-03 17:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-82.0%
Bear Extreme
-72.5%
Bear Critical
-59.1%
Bear Bias
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

With the 1H candle just closed, USDCAD in the near-peak Bear energy zone.

Market trend energy Energy delta +9.5%: Market Energy at -72.5%, previously -82%.

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to +95.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 00:00 on 04-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3778, up 0.05% from the previous candle (1.3771). Market Energy was -72.5%, up 9.5 points from -82%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3778, up 0.05% from the previous 1H candle (1.3771). This rise is larger than 65% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD, across 47,815 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 9.5 percentage points from the previous candle — from -82% to -72.5%. This rise is larger than 54% of past rises on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCAD at -82%, Bear Extreme — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Extreme → Bear Critical.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -72.5%, USDCAD is 12.46 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 2.04 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 97.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.8%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Critical, -72.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -81.7%. USDCAD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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