Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3776 to 1.3805, up 0.21%
Market Energy Bear Critical -70.4% to Bear Bias -54.2%, up 16.1 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.02%0.22%0.20%0.21%
Energy22.815.225.216.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.02% 0.22% 0.20% 0.21% 22.8 15.2 25.2 16.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.21% — higher than 55% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 16.1 pts — higher than 68% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD Daily

Sample: 4,028 Daily candles from 2013-01-02 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 311 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 211 times67.8%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 100 times32.2%

Current USDCAD market energy: -54.24%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 33.36%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 5.76%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · D1 · 2026-09-09 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-70.4%
Bear Critical
-54.2%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Following the completion of the Daily candle, Market USDCAD in the Bear Bias energy zone.

The market energy reading Market Energy rose +16.1% this candle, currently -54.2% (previous candle -70.4%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 1 Daily Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -70.4 to -37.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Daily candle closed?

When the Daily candle at 07:00 on 09-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3805, up 0.21% from the previous candle (1.3776). Market Energy was -54.2%, up 16.1 points from -70.4%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Daily candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3805, up 0.21% from the previous Daily candle (1.3776). This rise is larger than 55% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD, across 2,404 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 16.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from -70.4% to -54.2%. This rise is larger than 68% of past rises on the Daily timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Daily candle?

The previous Daily candle had USDCAD at -70.4%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bear Critical → Bear Bias.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -54.2%, USDCAD is 33.36 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 5.76 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -19.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Bias with energy -50.9%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -54.2%) lower than SPX500; sits in the same state zone as GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Extreme with Market Energy -82%. USDCAD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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