Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3905 to 1.3838, down 0.48%
Market Energy Bear Bias -36.8% to Bear Bias -30.6%, up 6.2 pts
Energy diverges from price
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.58%0.76%1.00%0.48%
Energy21.016.323.66.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.58% 0.76% 1.00% 0.48% 21.0 16.3 23.6 6.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.48% — higher than 46% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy up 6.2 pts — higher than 24% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Bias USDCAD Weekly

Sample: 609 Weekly candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-08-31
Number of Bear Bias occurrences: 54 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Bias:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 41 times75.9%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 13 times24.1%

Current USDCAD market energy: -30.64%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Bias (at -20.88%): 9.76%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Bias (at -60%): 29.36%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · W1 · 2026-08-31 00:00 UTC
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Market Energy
-36.8%
Bear Bias
-30.6%
Bear Bias
Expected at
07:10
Zone
-60 – -20.88
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

As the Weekly session concludes, USDCAD noted at the Bear trend energy zone.

Looking at the energy level, A +6.2% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -30.6% (previous: -36.8%).

Time in Bear Bias energy zone: 2 Weekly Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Not enough data in the past 5 days to show a range.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this Weekly candle closed?

When the Weekly candle at 07:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3838, down 0.48% from the previous candle (1.3905). Market Energy was -30.6%, up 6.2 points from -36.8%, in the Bear Bias state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Bias zone spans -60% to -20.88%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this Weekly candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3838, down 0.48% from the previous Weekly candle (1.3905). This drop is larger than 46% of past drops on the Weekly timeframe for USDCAD, across 400 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 6.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -36.8% to -30.6%. This rise is larger than 24% of past rises on the Weekly timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous Weekly candle?

The previous Weekly candle had USDCAD at -36.8%, Bear Bias — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Bias zone?

At -30.6%, USDCAD is 9.76 points from the upper boundary of Bear Bias (-20.88%) and 29.36 points from the lower boundary (-60%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Bias mean?

Bear Bias is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Bias definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -78%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -61.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Bias, -30.6%) has higher energy than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Critical with Market Energy 68.8%. USDCAD (Bear Bias) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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