Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.3818 to 1.3807, down 0.08%
Market Energy Bear Critical -73.8% to Bear Extreme -86.9%, down 13.2 pts
Down candle #3 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.03%0.09%0.08%
Energy13.01.520.813.2
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.03% 0.09% 0.08% 13.0 1.5 20.8 13.2
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.08% — higher than 79% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 13.2 pts — higher than 64% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme USDCAD 1H

Sample: 72,780 1H candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 920 times

When USDCAD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 920 times100%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current USDCAD market energy: -86.94%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 12.44%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 13.06%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H1 · 2026-09-03 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-73.8%
Bear Critical
-86.9%
Bear Extreme
-84.9%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the system processes the 1H candle, USDCAD reflects the extreme Bear energy state.

Market trend update: The energy level dropped -13.2%: from -73.8% now at -86.9%.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 1H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -94.7 to +95.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 1H candle closed?

When the 1H candle at 15:00 on 03-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3807, down 0.08% from the previous candle (1.3818). Market Energy was -86.9%, down 13.2 points from -73.8%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 1H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3807, down 0.08% from the previous 1H candle (1.3818). This drop is larger than 79% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD, across 47,806 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 13.2 percentage points from the previous candle — from -73.8% to -86.9%. This drop is larger than 64% of past drops on the 1H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 1H candle?

The previous 1H candle had USDCAD at -73.8%, Bear Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved down to a lower zone: Bear Critical → Bear Extreme.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -86.9%, USDCAD is 12.44 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 13.06 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Bias with energy 41.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 27.9%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bear Extreme, -86.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Critical with Market Energy -70.1%. USDCAD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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