Analysis

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Price and energy
USDCAD from 1.384 to 1.3847, up 0.05%
Market Energy Bull Critical 68.3% to Bull Extreme 76.6%, up 8.4 pts
Up candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.11%0.02%0.04%0.05%
Energy6.37.34.08.4
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.11% 0.02% 0.04% 0.05% 6.3 7.3 4.0 8.4
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price up 0.05% — higher than 33% of past rises
0%255075100%
Energy up 8.4 pts — higher than 47% of past rises
RESEARCH

Trend of Bull Extreme USDCAD 4H

Sample: 18,194 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-11
Number of Bull Extreme occurrences: 275 times

When USDCAD is in Bull Extreme:

  • then USDCAD moved to higher Market State: 0 times0%
  • then USDCAD moved to lower Market State: 275 times100%

Current USDCAD market energy: 76.63%

  • Distance to peak 100%: 23.37%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 2.13%

"History always repeats itself, one way or another" — 2AITRADING

USDCAD · H4 · 2026-09-11 05:00 UTC
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Market Energy
68.3%
Bull Critical
76.6%
Bull Extreme
Expected at
20:10
Zone
74.5 – 100
Bias
Buyers in control
Explanation

Measurement result after the 4H candle closes, USDCAD within the Bull Extreme state.

Observing the USDCAD market this session, Market Energy moved from 68.3% to 76.6%, up +8.4% from the previous candle.

Time in Bull Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, USDCAD Market Energy ranged from -66.3 to +76.6.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did USDCAD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 12:00 on 11-09-2026 closed, USDCAD was at 1.3847, up 0.05% from the previous candle (1.384). Market Energy was 76.6%, up 8.4 points from 68.3%, in the Bull Extreme state — controlled by buyers. The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%.

How much did USDCAD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

USDCAD closed at 1.3847, up 0.05% from the previous 4H candle (1.384). This rise is larger than 33% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD, across 11,985 candles since 2019.

How did USDCAD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy rose 8.4 percentage points from the previous candle — from 68.3% to 76.6%. This rise is larger than 47% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for USDCAD.

Do USDCAD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price rose and energy rose — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was USDCAD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had USDCAD at 68.3%, Bull Critical — when this candle closed, USDCAD moved up to a higher zone: Bull Critical → Bull Extreme.

Where does USDCAD energy sit within the Bull Extreme zone?

At 76.6%, USDCAD is 23.37 points from the upper boundary of Bull Extreme (100%) and 2.13 points from the lower boundary (74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the lower boundary at candle close.

What does Bull Extreme mean?

Bull Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bull Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 87.2%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Extreme with energy 89.5%. Against this backdrop, USDCAD (Bull Extreme, 76.6%) sits in the same state zone as SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -28.8%. USDCAD (Bull Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for USDCAD.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for USDCAD on the USDCAD overview →

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