Analysis

·

Price and energy
US30 Index from 52,497.8 to 52,262.8 points, down 0.45%
Market Energy Bear Bias -50.6% to Bear Extreme -83.3%, down 32.7 pts
Down candle #2 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.09%0.16%0.15%0.45%
Energy6.013.90.532.7
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.09% 0.16% 0.15% 0.45% 6.0 13.9 0.5 32.7
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.45% — higher than 82% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 32.7 pts — higher than 83% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,041 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-09
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 629 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Extreme:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 629 times100%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current US30 Index market energy: -83.28%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 8.78%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 16.72%

"Let data guide you, but never trust it completely" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live US30 chart →
Market Energy
-50.6%
Bear Bias
-83.3%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

Observing the completed 4H candle, US30 Index in the peak Bear energy state.

Per the 2AI model, Market Energy reading dropped -32.7%, moving from -50.6% to -83.3% after the 4H candle.

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -91 to -50.1.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 52,262.8, down 0.45% from the previous candle (52,497.8). Market Energy was -83.3%, down 32.7 points from -50.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 52,262.8, down 0.45% from the previous 4H candle (52,497.8). This drop is larger than 82% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,870 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 32.7 percentage points from the previous candle — from -50.6% to -83.3%. This drop is larger than 83% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -50.6%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -83.3%, US30 Index is 8.78 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 16.72 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.9%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Extreme, -83.3%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 31%. US30 Index (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

To jump to a symbol you're interested in, click .