Research

US30 4H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
18,222 US30 4H candles
Period
2014-12-31 – 2026-10-22 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
WD1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

US30 — Bear Extreme — 4H

Occurrences: 638 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 638 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

US30 — Bear Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 816 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 581 times — 71.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 235 times — 28.8%

US30 — Bear Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,278 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 808 times — 63.2%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 470 times — 36.8%

US30 — Neutral — 4H

Occurrences: 1,304 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 670 times — 51.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 634 times — 48.6%

US30 — Bull Bias — 4H

Occurrences: 1,340 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 635 times — 47.4%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 705 times — 52.6%

US30 — Bull Critical — 4H

Occurrences: 973 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 373 times — 38.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 600 times — 61.7%

US30 — Bull Extreme — 4H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 796 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 796 times — 100%

Current market energy at 74.68%
Distance to peak 100%: 25.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 0.18 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of US30?

Historically, when US30 was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 796 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 74.68%, 25.32 points from the upper bound and 0.18 points from the lower bound — closer to the lower bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 18,222 candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-10-22, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing US30's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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