Research

US30 1H: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle close

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
70,153 US30 1H candles
Period
2015-01-01 – 2026-10-09 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
ENERGY SHIFTS
▲ to a higher zone▼ to a lower zone★ current position

US30 — Bear Extreme — 1H

Occurrences: 2,348 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,348 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

US30 — Bear Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,105 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,198 times — 70.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 907 times — 29.2%

US30 — Bear Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,073 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 3,212 times — 63.3%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 1,861 times — 36.7%

US30 — Neutral — 1H

Occurrences: 5,253 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,736 times — 52.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,517 times — 47.9%

US30 — Bull Bias — 1H

Occurrences: 5,346 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 2,348 times — 43.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,998 times — 56.1%

US30 — Bull Critical — 1H

Occurrences: 3,546 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 1,237 times — 34.9%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,309 times — 65.1%

US30 — Bull Extreme — 1H

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 2,712 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 2,712 times — 100%

Current market energy at 93.68%
Distance to peak 100%: 6.32 points
Distance to lower bound of Bull Extreme (at 74.5%): 19.18 points
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of US30?

Historically, when US30 was in the Bull Extreme zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 0% of the time and down to a lower zone 100% of the time (across 2,712 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Bull Extreme zone spans 74.5% to 100%. The market is at 93.68%, 6.32 points from the upper bound and 19.18 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 70,153 candles from 2015-01-01 to 2026-10-09, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing US30's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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