Research

US30 W: Energy Zone Transition Trends

Candle open

Study type
Historical statistics
Question answered
Direction of market moves
Principle
Once a candle closes, its data is locked and never changes, so it can be observed over time
Candles studied
615 US30 W candles
Period
2015-01-05 – 2026-10-12 (11.8 years)
Result
7-zone table below ↓
Other timeframes
D4H1H
ENERGY SHIFTS
↑ % moved higher↓ % moved lower★ current★ previous candle
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this study. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

US30 — Bear Extreme — W

Occurrences: 17 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 100%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 0 times — 0%

US30 — Bear Critical — W

Occurrences: 24 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 17 times — 70.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 7 times — 29.2%

US30 — Bear Bias — W

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 28 times — 65.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 15 times — 34.9%

US30 — Neutral — W

◉ CURRENT CANDLE

Occurrences: 51 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 35 times — 68.6%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 16 times — 31.4%

Current market energy at 5.54%
Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 15.34 points
Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 26.42 points

US30 — Bull Bias — W

Occurrences: 68 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 40 times — 58.8%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 28 times — 41.2%

US30 — Bull Critical — W

Occurrences: 56 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 23 times — 41.1%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 33 times — 58.9%

US30 — Bull Extreme — W

Occurrences: 43 times
Then moved up to a higher zone: 0 times — 0%
Then moved down to a lower zone: 43 times — 100%

FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS

What is the trend of US30?

Historically, when US30 was in the Neutral zone, the market moved up to a higher zone 68.6% of the time and down to a lower zone 31.4% of the time (across 51 observations).

Where is the market within its current zone?

The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%. The market is at 5.54%, 15.34 points from the upper bound and 26.42 points from the lower bound — closer to the upper bound of the zone.

How are these statistics calculated?

Each closed candle carries an energy state. A transition is counted when the next candle carries a DIFFERENT state; moving up means a higher-energy zone, moving down a lower one. Percentages are frequencies observed across the full sample.

Where does the data come from and how many candles?

The sample contains 615 candles from 2015-01-05 to 2026-10-12, computed with 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Data is captured at candle close and locked immutable over time to keep the statistics stable.

Are these numbers a prediction?

No. These are historical frequencies describing US30's past behavior — not future probabilities and not buy/sell advice. Investors should combine them with their own trading method and do full research before applying.

What are the 7 market energy states?

Market Energy measures the market on a -100% to +100% scale, split into 7 zones from Bear Extreme to Bull Extreme; every closed candle belongs to exactly one zone.

See all 7 Market States →

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