Analysis

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Price and energy
XPTUSD from 1,868.83 to 1,810.98, down 3.10%
Market Energy Bull Bias 30.6% to Bear Extreme -85.5%, down 116.1 pts
Down candle #4 in a rowPrice and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.77%0.66%0.99%3.10%
Energy8.713.340.2116.1
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.77% 0.66% 0.99% 3.10% 8.7 13.3 40.2 116.1
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 3.10% — higher than 99% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 116.1 pts — higher than 99% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Extreme XPTUSD 4H

Sample: 176 4H candles from 2026-07-23 to 2026-09-10
Number of Bear Extreme occurrences: 9 times

When XPTUSD is in Bear Extreme:

  • then XPTUSD moved to higher Market State: 9 times100%
  • then XPTUSD moved to lower Market State: 0 times0%

Current XPTUSD market energy: -85.46%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Extreme (at -74.5%): 10.96%
  • Distance to bottom -100%: 14.54%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

XPTUSD · H4 · 2026-09-10 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
30.6%
Bull Bias
-85.5%
Bear Extreme
Expected at
00:10
Zone
-100 – -74.5
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

After the 4H candle closes, XPTUSD within Bear energy at peak level.

Market movement just recorded on the 4H timeframe, A -116.1% change from the previous candle, Market Energy is now -85.5% (previous: 30.6%).

Time in Bear Extreme energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, XPTUSD Market Energy ranged from -85.5 to +92.9.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did XPTUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 10-09-2026 closed, XPTUSD was at 1,810.98, down 3.1% from the previous candle (1,868.83). Market Energy was -85.5%, down 116.1 points from 30.6%, in the Bear Extreme state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Extreme zone spans -100% to -74.5%.

How much did XPTUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

XPTUSD closed at 1,810.98, down 3.1% from the previous 4H candle (1,868.83). This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPTUSD, across 176 candles since 2019.

How did XPTUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 116.1 percentage points from the previous candle — from 30.6% to -85.5%. This drop is larger than 99% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for XPTUSD.

Do XPTUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.

What state was XPTUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had XPTUSD at 30.6%, Bull Bias — when this candle closed, XPTUSD moved down to a lower zone: Bull Bias → Bear Extreme.

Where does XPTUSD energy sit within the Bear Extreme zone?

At -85.5%, XPTUSD is 10.96 points from the upper boundary of Bear Extreme (-74.5%) and 14.54 points from the lower boundary (-100%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Extreme mean?

Bear Extreme is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Extreme definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Bear Bias with energy -53.8%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Critical with energy -73.9%. Against this backdrop, XPTUSD (Bear Extreme, -85.5%) lower than SPX500, GER40.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 31%. XPTUSD (Bear Extreme) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for XPTUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for XPTUSD on the XPTUSD overview →

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