Analysis

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Price and energy
US30 Index from 53,490.4 to 53,360.4 points, down 0.24%
Market Energy Bear Bias -52.5% to Bear Critical -60.1%, down 7.6 pts
Price and energy are in agreement
Price and energy change · last 4 candles
Price0.01%0.26%0.14%0.24%
Energy19.529.815.57.6
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
0.01% 0.26% 0.14% 0.24% 19.5 29.8 15.5 7.6
priceenergy up · down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.24% — higher than 65% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 7.6 pts — higher than 48% of past drops
RESEARCH

Trend of Bear Critical US30 Index 4H

Sample: 18,066 4H candles from 2014-12-31 to 2026-09-15
Number of Bear Critical occurrences: 805 times

When US30 Index is in Bear Critical:

  • then US30 Index moved to higher Market State: 573 times71.2%
  • then US30 Index moved to lower Market State: 232 times28.8%

Current US30 Index market energy: -60.14%

  • Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 0.14%
  • Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 14.36%

"Past — present — future. The past and present are known. The future is yours" — 2AITRADING

US30 · H4 · 2026-08-31 09:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
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Market Energy
-52.5%
Bear Bias
-60.1%
Bear Critical
-75.3%
Bear Extreme
Zone
-74.5 – -60
Bias
Sellers in control
Explanation

US30 Index classified into the Bear Critical measurement after the 4H candle completed.

The market energy reading Market Energy dropped -7.6% this candle, currently -60.1% (previous candle -52.5%).

Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, US30 Index Market Energy ranged from -95.1 to +32.

Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

Frequently asked questions

What did US30 Index price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle at 16:00 on 31-08-2026 closed, US30 Index was at 53,360.4, down 0.24% from the previous candle (53,490.4). Market Energy was -60.1%, down 7.6 points from -52.5%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.

How much did US30 price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

US30 closed at 53,360.4, down 0.24% from the previous 4H candle (53,490.4). This drop is larger than 65% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30, across 11,825 candles since 2019.

How did US30 Index Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 7.6 percentage points from the previous candle — from -52.5% to -60.1%. This drop is larger than 48% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for US30.

Do US30 price and energy agree?

Yes. Both price and energy moved down on this candle. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was US30 Index in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had US30 Index at -52.5%, Bear Bias — when this candle closed, US30 Index moved down to a lower zone: Bear Bias → Bear Critical.

Where does US30 Index energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?

At -60.1%, US30 Index is 0.14 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 14.36 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Bear Critical mean?

Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Bear Critical definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy 15.6%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -84.1%. Against this backdrop, US30 Index (Bear Critical, -60.1%) has higher energy than GER40; lower than SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bear Bias with Market Energy -46.6%. US30 Index (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on the same Bear side.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for US30 Index.

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Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for US30 on the US30 Index overview →

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