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| Price | ▼ 1.32% | ▼ 1.88% | ▼ 1.41% | ▼ 0.31% |
| Energy | ▲ 15.8 | ▲ 0.1 | ▼ 10.8 | ▲ 2.9 |
Trend of Bear Critical ADAUSD 4H
▸When ADAUSD is in Bear Critical:
- then ADAUSD moved to higher Market State: 378 times — 78.3%
- then ADAUSD moved to lower Market State: 105 times — 21.7%
▸Current ADAUSD market energy: -66.93%
- Distance to upper bound of Bear Critical (at -60%): 6.93%
- Distance to lower bound of Bear Critical (at -74.5%): 7.57%
"Does history really repeat itself?" — 2AITRADING
With the 4H candle just closed, ADAUSD recorded in the Bear Critical level.
Market trend on the 2AiTrading energy system Market Energy rose +2.9% this candle, currently -66.9% (previous candle -69.9%).
Time in Bear Critical energy zone: 1 4H Candle
Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.
Over the past 5 days, ADAUSD Market Energy ranged from -86.7 to +55.7.
Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.
What did ADAUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?
When the 4H candle at 07:00 on 16-09-2026 closed, ADAUSD was at 0.1948, down 0.31% from the previous candle (0.1954). Market Energy was -66.9%, up 2.9 points from -69.9%, in the Bear Critical state — controlled by sellers. The Bear Critical zone spans -74.5% to -60%.
How much did ADAUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?
ADAUSD closed at 0.1948, down 0.31% from the previous 4H candle (0.1954). This drop is larger than 18% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD, across 16,886 candles since 2019.
How did ADAUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?
Market Energy rose 2.9 percentage points from the previous candle — from -69.9% to -66.9%. This rise is larger than 20% of past rises on the 4H timeframe for ADAUSD.
Do ADAUSD price and energy agree?
No. This candle recorded a price decline with energy moving the other way. This describes the candle that just closed; it does not say where price goes next.
What state was ADAUSD in on the previous 4H candle?
The previous 4H candle had ADAUSD at -69.9%, Bear Critical — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.
Where does ADAUSD energy sit within the Bear Critical zone?
At -66.9%, ADAUSD is 6.93 points from the upper boundary of Bear Critical (-60%) and 7.57 points from the lower boundary (-74.5%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.
What does Bear Critical mean?
Bear Critical is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.
See the full Bear Critical definition →How are the broader market indices trending?
Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -13.3%; GER40 (European equities) in Bull Bias with energy 38.6%. Against this backdrop, ADAUSD (Bear Critical, -66.9%) lower than SPX500, GER40.
How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?
Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Bias with Market Energy 44.1%. ADAUSD (Bear Critical) and DXY currently sit on opposite sides.
See the real-time energy chart for ADAUSD.
Open Energy ChartSee the full 2AiTrading Model data for ADAUSD on the ADAUSD overview →
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