Analysis

POLUSD 0.09182 ↓0.11%: Bulls & Bears in a tug-of-war · 4H 19:00 Oct 23, 2026

·
Candle close
Price and energy
Open 0.09191 · High 0.09226 · Low 0.09115 · Close 0.09182 · Range (high − low) 0.00111
POLUSD closed at 0.09182, down 0.0001 (-0.11%) from 0.09192.
Bull–Bear energy behind the price: the market moved from the Neutral zone at 19.5% to Neutral at 14.2%, down 5.3 points.
Second straight down candle, price and energy are moving down together.
Price and energy · last 4 candles
Price0.090450.0920.091920.09182
Energy-69.5%-8.2%19.5%14.2%
Price change↑ 0.06%↑ 1.71%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.11%
Energy change↑ 6.4↑ 61.3↑ 27.6↓ 5.3
Volatility trend chart · last 4 sessions
↑ 0.06%↑ 1.71%↓ 0.09%↓ 0.11%↑ 6.4↑ 61.3↑ 27.6↓ 5.3
Δ priceΔ energy↑ up · ↓ down
Volatility · vs history since 2019
Price down 0.11% — higher than 6% of past drops
0%255075100%
Energy down 5.3 pts — higher than 32% of past drops
Knowledge

Concepts referenced in this analysis. Tap to explore each in the Knowledge Hub.

RESEARCH

Trend of Neutral POLUSD 4H

Sample: 4,617 4H candles from 2024-09-13 to 2026-10-22
Number of Neutral occurrences: 468 times

▸When POLUSD is in Neutral:

  • then POLUSD moved to higher Market State: 217 times — 46.4%
  • then POLUSD moved to lower Market State: 251 times — 53.6%

▸Current POLUSD market energy: 14.18%

  • Distance to upper bound of Neutral (at 20.88%): 6.7%
  • Distance to lower bound of Neutral (at -20.88%): 35.06%

"If history reveals a pattern, remember — nothing is ever absolutely 100%" — 2AITRADING

POLUSD · H4 · 2026-10-23 08:00 UTC
Preview the last 30 candles — price and energy
View live POLUSD chart →
Market Energy
19.5%
Neutral
14.2%
Neutral
Expected at
23:10
Zone
-20.88 – 20.88
Bias
Balanced
Explanation

From the just-closed 4H candle data, POLUSD in the neutral energy level.

Market energy measurement Market Energy dropped -5.3% from the previous candle, from 19.5% to 14.2%.

Time in Neutral energy zone: 3 4H Candle

2AiTrading Market Energy Model

Traders using any methodology can reference Market Energy on 2AiTrading to consider adjustments to their strategy — including stoploss, takeprofit, or position sizing — depending on the situation.

Market context
Historical perspective

Over the past 5 days, POLUSD Market Energy ranged from -97.4 to 81.1.

Frequently asked questions

What did POLUSD price and energy show when this 4H candle closed?

When the 4H candle closed at 19:00 on 23-10-2026, POLUSD was at 0.09182, down 0.11% from the previous candle (0.09192). Market Energy was 14.2%, down 5.3 points from 19.5%, in the Neutral state — the market is neutral. The Neutral zone spans -20.88% to 20.88%.

How much did POLUSD price move on this 4H candle, and how large is that historically?

POLUSD closed at 0.09182, down 0.11% from the previous 4H candle (0.09192). This drop is larger than 6% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD, across 4,619 candles since 2019.

How did POLUSD Market Energy change from the previous candle?

Market Energy fell 5.3 percentage points from the previous candle — from 19.5% to 14.2%. This drop is larger than 32% of past drops on the 4H timeframe for POLUSD.

Do POLUSD price and energy agree?

Yes. On this candle price fell and energy fell — both moved the same way. This describes a closed candle, not a forecast of where price goes next.

What state was POLUSD in on the previous 4H candle?

The previous 4H candle had POLUSD at 19.5%, Neutral — this candle kept the same state, no zone change.

Where does POLUSD energy sit within the Neutral zone?

At 14.2%, POLUSD is 6.7 points from the upper boundary of Neutral (20.88%) and 35.06 points from the lower boundary (-20.88%) — so energy sits closer to the upper boundary at candle close.

What does Neutral mean?

Neutral is one of 7 Market States in 2AiTrading's Market Energy model, applied consistently across every asset class, market and timeframe.

See the full Neutral definition →

How are the broader market indices trending?

Based on each index's latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close: SPX500 (US equities) in Neutral with energy -18.5%; GER40 (European equities) in Bear Extreme with energy -85.8%. Against this backdrop, POLUSD (Neutral, 14.2%) has higher energy than GER40; sits in the same state zone as SPX500.

How is the US Dollar Index (DXY) trending?

Based on the latest completed H1 candle as of this candle close, the US Dollar Index (DXY) was in Bull Extreme with Market Energy 74.6%. POLUSD energy is currently below DXY by 60.4 points.

Real-time Energy Chart

See the real-time energy chart for POLUSD.

Open Energy Chart
Related analysis
Methodology

Data computed by 2AiTrading's proprietary Market Energy model. Snapshot captured at candle close. See methodology →

See the full 2AiTrading Model data for POLUSD on the POLUSD overview →

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